Top 7 Metrics Every Soccer Bettor Should Track Weekly

Betting Guide / Betting Help

April 03,2025
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Bruce Williams

Top 7 Metrics Every Soccer Bettor Should Track Weekly

Successful soccer betting isn’t about guessing who will win—it’s about using the right data to make informed decisions. To gain a consistent edge over the bookmakers, you need to track and interpret key metrics that reflect team and player performance. In this article, we break down the top 7 metrics every serious soccer bettor should monitor weekly.

1. Expected Goals (xG)

Why it matters: Expected Goals measures the quality of goal-scoring chances based on variables like shot location, assist type, and body part used.

A high xG means a team is creating solid chances, even if they aren’t converting.
A low xG with high actual goals may signal unsustainable finishing.

Tip: Use xG to spot undervalued teams or fading favorites running hot.

2. Shots on Target (SoT)

Why it matters: It shows how effectively a team is testing the goalkeeper.

Track SoT per game to measure offensive efficiency.
Useful for player prop bets (e.g., individual shot markets).

Tip: Compare SoT with xG for a deeper picture of attacking output.

3. Possession Percentage

Why it matters: Possession isn’t everything, but it tells you which team controls the tempo.

Dominant possession often correlates with fewer chances conceded.
Combine with pass accuracy and territory gained for more insight.

Tip: Watch out for teams that dominate possession but lack penetration.

4. Key Passes & Chances Created

Why it matters: These stats highlight creativity and potential assist providers.

Identify midfielders and wingers who create high-value opportunities.
Great for assist markets or BTTS (both teams to score) predictions.

Tip: Use this with team xG to evaluate attacking threats.

5. Defensive Errors & Interceptions

Why it matters: Defense wins matches (and bets).

Monitor individual and team errors leading to shots or goals.
Interception and tackle stats reveal defensive work rate and style.

Tip: Teams with high defensive error rates are risky favorites.

6. Set Piece Stats (Corners, Free Kicks, Goals)

Why it matters: Many tight games are decided by set pieces.

Track how many corners a team wins and concedes.
Identify specialists in headers, deliveries, and free kicks.

Tip: Target set-piece-heavy teams for corner and first-goal markets.

7. Form Guide: Last 5-10 Matches

Why it matters: Momentum matters in soccer.

Look at win/draw/loss trends, but combine them with performance stats.
Consider home/away splits and opponent strength.

Tip: A team may be winning, but underlying metrics may suggest a dip is coming.

Conclusion

Tracking the right metrics weekly gives you a powerful edge over casual bettors who rely on gut feelings. Whether you're betting on match outcomes, player props, or in-play markets, understanding xG, SoT, possession, and form will help you spot value and avoid traps.

Remember, betting isn’t about predicting the future—it’s about identifying patterns and probabilities. Use these metrics, stay consistent, and you’ll build a sharper, data-driven edge over time.

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